Wait for Lean Hog Futures to Move Above This Level Before You Buy
July lean hog futures (HEN25) present a buying opportunity on more price strength.
See on the daily bar chart for July lean hog futures that prices are trending higher and last week hit a two-month high. See at the bottom of the chart that the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator is in a bullish posture as the red MACD line is above the blue trigger line and both lines are trending up. Bulls have the near-term technical advantage.
Fundamentally, the record-setting bull run in the cattle and beef markets is friendly for hog and pork markets. High beef prices at the meat counter mean better consumer substitution demand for less expensive pork cuts. Also, the outdoor grilling season is just commencing, which also means better consumer demand for pork.
A move in July lean hogs above chart resistance at last week’s high of $101.90 would become a buying opportunity. The upside price objective would be $111.00, or above. Technical support, for which to place a protective sell stop just below, is located at $97.60.
IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any trades and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.
Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.
On the date of publication, Jim Wyckoff did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.