Crude Oil Completes A Bearish Running Triangle?

Crude Oil pumpjack at sunset by Zbynek Burival via Unsplash

Crude oil (CL) is still stuck in the range since the end of June, and this fits better with a triangle rather than a bearish 1-2, 1-2 setup. If correct, then price is now in wave E, the final leg of this triangle, which could stop at the 61.8% level around 64. A reversal down from here and a break below 63 would be the first signal that bears are in play for new lows, which I think will sooner or later show up around 59–60 per barrel, where the wave B drop from the June highs could come to an end.

Crude Oil Completes A Bearish Running Triangle? CL 4H Chart
CL 4H Chart
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